
SST Spool File:  c:\data\groupcon\test1.out
Sun Feb 20 14:08:42 1994

ACCESS FILE[c:\data\groupcon\nes92.sav]
CONFIG MORE[OFF] CASE[OFF]
SET state=0
SET state=1; if[v3017==14 | v3017==21 | v3017==31 | v3017==32]
SET state=1; if[v3017==34 | v3017==37 | v3017==52 | v3017==61]
SET state=1; if[v3017==71 | v3017==73]
rem *** create variables for controlling only for PA and IL
set state1=0
set state1=1; if[v3017==14 | v3017==21]
REM *** start recoding variables to reflect political attitudes
REM *** create partyid and same partyid variables for states with a woman
SET partyid=v3634; if[v3634>=0 & V3634<=6]
set simparty=v3634; if[partyid<3 & v3017!=37]
set simparty=6-v3634; if[partyid>3 & v3017==37]
Warning: no valid observations
set simparty=3; if[partyid==3]
set simparty=v3634; if[partyid>3 & v3017!=37]
set simparty=6-v3634; if[partyid<3 & v3017==37]
Warning: no valid observations
REM *** create the liberal/conservative scales
SET libcon=v3509; if[v3509!=4]
set libcon=4; if[v3509==4]
set libcon=3; if[v3509==4 & v3511==1]
set libcon=5; if[v3509==4 & v3511==5]
set libcon=3; if[v3512==1]
set libcon=4; if[v3512==3]
set libcon=5; if[v3512==5]
set libconr=libcon; if[v3017!=37]
set libconr=8-libcon; if[v3017==37]
Warning: no valid observations
REM *** create the variables for other women's attitudes
SET abortion=v3732; if[v3732<6]
SET abortion=5; if[v3732==6]
SET hillthom=(v3310-v3314)/100
SET harser=4-v3741
RECODE VAR[V3742] MAP[5=0,1=1] TO[SUBHAR]
REM *** RECODE VARIABLES FOR INCOME AND RACE
SET v4104=14; if[v4104==66]
SET v4104=15; if[v4104==77]
set black=0
set black=1; if[v4202==2]
set female=v4201-1
REM *** codes for exposure to any woman candidate
SET womcand=0
SET womcand=1; if[state==1]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==4201]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==6201]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==0103]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==4303]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==4304]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==4318]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==4317]
Warning: no valid observations
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==4320]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==4322]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==4401]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==4404]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==2204]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==2303]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==2304]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==2309]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==2315]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==1205]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==1211]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==1314]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==5403]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==4926]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==4930]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==2505]
SET womcand=1; if[v3016==2509]
REM *** create the dependent variables
REM *** for states with women 1=voted for the woman 0=else
set femvote=0; if[state==1]
set femvote=1; if[v3017!=37 & v5628==1]
set femvote=1; if[v3017==37 & v5628==2]
Warning: no valid observations
REM *** for states without women 1=Democratic candidate
set senvote=0; if[v5628==2]
set senvote=1; if[v5628==1]
REM *** create variables to control for incumbency advantage
set finc=0
set finc=1; if[v3017==52]
set dinc=0
set dinc=1; if[v3022==12]
set rinc=0
set rinc=1; if[v3022==21]
set v3305=v3305/100
rem *** create the interaction variables for sex
set htint=hillthom*female
set harint=harser*female
set stateint=state*female
set htstate=hillthom*state
set harstate=harser*state
set htstint=hillthom*female*state
set idenint=identify*female
set affctint=polaffct*female
set powerint=polpower*female
set sexint=sexlegit*female
set colint=collactw*female
set sysint=sysblamw*female
set idpaint=idpa*female
set idppint=idpp*female
set idlgint=idlg*female
set idcaint=idca*female
set idsbint=idsb*female
set idpplgin=idpplg*female
set idppcain=idppca*female
set idppsbin=idppsb*female
set pplgint=pplg*female
set ppcaint=ppca*female
set ppsbint=ppsb*female
set idenist=identify*female*state
set affctist=polaffct*female*state
set powerist=polpower*female*state
set sexist=sexlegit*female*state
set colist=collactw*female*state
set sysist=sysblamw*female*state
set idpaist=idpa*female*state
set idppist=idpp*female*state
set idlgist=idlg*female*state
set idcaist=idca*female*state
set idsbist=idsb*female*state
set idpplgis=idpplg*female*state
set idppcais=idppca*female*state
set idppsbis=idppsb*female*state
set pplgist=pplg*female*state
set ppcaist=ppca*female*state
set ppsbist=ppsb*female*state
probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p identify] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       89          43.20
    1                      117          56.80

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.42788e+002     STEP =            1.47950     
                NEW LLF =     -84.02513          GRAD*DIREC =     95.09056     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -84.02513          STEP =            1.09811     
                NEW LLF =     -83.44852          GRAD*DIREC =      1.08035     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -83.44852          STEP =            1.78814     
                NEW LLF =     -83.40261          GRAD*DIREC =      6.34731e-002

ITERATION  4:   OLD LLF =     -83.40261          STEP =            1.29861     
                NEW LLF =     -83.39712          GRAD*DIREC =      9.18767e-003

ITERATION  5:   OLD LLF =     -83.39712          STEP =            1.54410     
                NEW LLF =     -83.39614          GRAD*DIREC =      1.46877e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       2.94542e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha           5.98263              38.67637               0.15468     
  partyid          -0.24539               6.52061e-002         -3.76326     
  libconr          -6.90141e-002          9.50836e-002         -0.72582     
 abortion           0.27114               0.12488               2.17132     
 hillthom           0.47433               0.30006               1.58082     
    black          -0.16867               0.48071              -0.35087     
     dinc           2.90325e-002          0.45300               6.40888e-002
     rinc          -0.58811               0.23666              -2.48504     
   harser           0.44845               0.17330               2.58764     
    V3305          -0.99697               0.54002              -1.84618     
 IWSEX92P          -3.05671              19.33365              -0.15810     
 identify           6.78966e-002          0.18498               0.36704     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -83.396          -142.79 
number of observations                  206
percent correctly predicted          82.524

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -1.76416e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.11127     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.14390     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.47997e-003

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p polaffct] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       98          42.24
    1                      134          57.76

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.60810e+002     STEP =            1.51536     
                NEW LLF =     -91.71055          GRAD*DIREC =      1.10931e+002

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -91.71055          STEP =            0.99968     
                NEW LLF =     -91.28912          GRAD*DIREC =      0.84299     

At convergence grad * dir =       5.86025e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -1.04451               1.41890              -0.73614     
  partyid          -0.22995               6.39964e-002         -3.59315     
  libconr          -6.50332e-002          9.02359e-002         -0.72070     
 abortion           0.28749               0.12013               2.39310     
 hillthom           0.50679               0.28727               1.76414     
    black          -3.57781e-002          0.44198              -8.09490e-002
     dinc           4.79287e-002          0.43336               0.11060     
     rinc          -0.64502               0.23159              -2.78514     
   harser           0.46801               0.17539               2.66844     
    V3305          -0.93718               0.51979              -1.80300     
 IWSEX92P           0.20911               0.60700               0.34450     
 polaffct           0.61328               0.64397               0.95233     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -91.289          -160.81 
number of observations                  232
percent correctly predicted          83.621

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.16065     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -4.06252e-002

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.34599     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      0.10669     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p polpower] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       96          41.74
    1                      134          58.26

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.59424e+002     STEP =            1.53124     
                NEW LLF =     -89.45000          GRAD*DIREC =      1.11559e+002

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -89.45000          STEP =            1.00324     
                NEW LLF =     -88.99392          GRAD*DIREC =      0.91021     

At convergence grad * dir =       6.73078e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -2.94490               1.72027              -1.71188     
  partyid          -0.25510               6.53627e-002         -3.90281     
  libconr          -5.81009e-002          9.12252e-002         -0.63690     
 abortion           0.26253               0.12057               2.17735     
 hillthom           0.48345               0.29348               1.64731     
    black           6.72043e-002          0.44588               0.15072     
     dinc           2.84090e-002          0.42806               6.63674e-002
     rinc          -0.68895               0.23365              -2.94860     
   harser           0.48095               0.16864               2.85197     
    V3305          -0.78511               0.52501              -1.49540     
 IWSEX92P           0.30050               0.60313               0.49824     
 polpower           2.85183               1.30992               2.17711     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -88.994          -159.42 
number of observations                  230
percent correctly predicted          85.652

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.14075     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -5.64864e-002

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -8.43235e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      0.11374     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p sexlegit] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       94          41.78
    1                      131          58.22

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.55958e+002     STEP =            1.54265     
                NEW LLF =     -87.43001          GRAD*DIREC =      1.08842e+002

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -87.43001          STEP =            1.00994     
                NEW LLF =     -86.77740          GRAD*DIREC =      1.29638     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -86.77740          STEP =            1.00365     
                NEW LLF =     -86.77637          GRAD*DIREC =      2.06237e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       1.76440e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -1.25453               1.45733              -0.86085     
  partyid          -0.23948               6.45654e-002         -3.70911     
  libconr          -5.83528e-002          9.37748e-002         -0.62227     
 abortion           0.23662               0.12573               1.88191     
 hillthom           0.44317               0.30216               1.46667     
    black          -1.94804e-002          0.44280              -4.39939e-002
     dinc           3.43175e-002          0.44273               7.75132e-002
     rinc          -0.77422               0.24227              -3.19569     
   harser           0.52639               0.17391               3.02678     
    V3305          -1.05390               0.54428              -1.93633     
 IWSEX92P           0.28641               0.61748               0.46384     
 sexlegit           0.74216               0.59723               1.24268     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -86.776          -155.96 
number of observations                  225
percent correctly predicted          82.222

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.18538     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.17018     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.18559     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      0.13678     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p collactw] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       97          42.54
    1                      131          57.46

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.58038e+002     STEP =            1.51697     
                NEW LLF =     -91.72684          GRAD*DIREC =      1.06320e+002

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -91.72684          STEP =            0.99892     
                NEW LLF =     -91.37130          GRAD*DIREC =      0.71159     

At convergence grad * dir =       4.06587e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.64368               1.36492              -0.47158     
  partyid          -0.22826               6.51916e-002         -3.50141     
  libconr          -6.85724e-002          9.01210e-002         -0.76089     
 abortion           0.29750               0.12021               2.47492     
 hillthom           0.50886               0.28976               1.75616     
    black           2.55796e-002          0.44059               5.80576e-002
     dinc           7.34182e-002          0.43587               0.16844     
     rinc          -0.65533               0.23117              -2.83480     
   harser           0.52252               0.16936               3.08523     
    V3305          -0.94249               0.51692              -1.82327     
 IWSEX92P           0.12647               0.61246               0.20649     
 COLLACTW           5.97045e-002          0.38588               0.15472     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -91.371          -158.04 
number of observations                  228
percent correctly predicted          83.333

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.16964     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.13911     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.23546     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.10002     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p sysblamw] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       94          42.34
    1                      128          57.66

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.53879e+002     STEP =            1.52797     
                NEW LLF =     -87.38636          GRAD*DIREC =      1.06183e+002

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -87.38636          STEP =            1.01045     
                NEW LLF =     -86.96694          GRAD*DIREC =      0.83303     

At convergence grad * dir =       6.44004e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.86054               1.40009              -0.61463     
  partyid          -0.22664               6.53447e-002         -3.46833     
  libconr          -6.18673e-002          9.33820e-002         -0.66252     
 abortion           0.23805               0.12678               1.87771     
 hillthom           0.45092               0.30465               1.48015     
    black           3.32023e-004          0.44516               7.45854e-004
     dinc           7.00589e-002          0.44211               0.15846     
     rinc          -0.70962               0.23736              -2.98967     
   harser           0.52214               0.17864               2.92279     
    V3305          -0.98836               0.53509              -1.84710     
 IWSEX92P           0.16686               0.60939               0.27381     
 SYSBLAMW           0.52435               0.68201               0.76883     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -86.967          -153.88 
number of observations                  222
percent correctly predicted          83.784

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.24357     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.23359     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.30605     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -1.16874e-002

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idpa] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       89          43.20
    1                      117          56.80

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.42788e+002     STEP =            1.48243     
                NEW LLF =     -83.93376          GRAD*DIREC =     95.15783     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -83.93376          STEP =            1.09821     
                NEW LLF =     -83.34503          GRAD*DIREC =      1.10282     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -83.34503          STEP =            1.79176     
                NEW LLF =     -83.29854          GRAD*DIREC =      6.42100e-002

ITERATION  4:   OLD LLF =     -83.29854          STEP =            1.29750     
                NEW LLF =     -83.29303          GRAD*DIREC =      9.21877e-003

ITERATION  5:   OLD LLF =     -83.29303          STEP =            1.54487     
                NEW LLF =     -83.29206          GRAD*DIREC =      1.46955e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       2.94429e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha           5.99791              38.76678               0.15472     
  partyid          -0.24319               6.53557e-002         -3.72100     
  libconr          -6.63475e-002          9.51523e-002         -0.69728     
 abortion           0.27053               0.12489               2.16611     
 hillthom           0.46388               0.30070               1.54267     
    black          -0.17398               0.48168              -0.36120     
     dinc           2.27092e-002          0.45333               5.00939e-002
     rinc          -0.57783               0.23777              -2.43027     
   harser           0.43390               0.17608               2.46422     
    V3305          -1.01226               0.53850              -1.87976     
 IWSEX92P          -3.06604              19.37893              -0.15822     
     idpa           0.14270               0.24408               0.58464     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -83.292          -142.79 
number of observations                  206
percent correctly predicted          82.524

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -1.56818e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.12612     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.22841     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.72030e-003

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idpp] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       87          42.65
    1                      117          57.35

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.41402e+002     STEP =            1.48102     
                NEW LLF =     -83.60874          GRAD*DIREC =     93.47461     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -83.60874          STEP =            1.09965     
                NEW LLF =     -83.01563          GRAD*DIREC =      1.10999     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -83.01563          STEP =            1.79104     
                NEW LLF =     -82.96871          GRAD*DIREC =      6.48387e-002

ITERATION  4:   OLD LLF =     -82.96871          STEP =            1.29712     
                NEW LLF =     -82.96316          GRAD*DIREC =      9.29052e-003

ITERATION  5:   OLD LLF =     -82.96316          STEP =            1.54513     
                NEW LLF =     -82.96218          GRAD*DIREC =      1.47908e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       2.96225e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha           6.01153              38.68477               0.15540     
  partyid          -0.24224               6.53215e-002         -3.70848     
  libconr          -6.55856e-002          9.50057e-002         -0.69033     
 abortion           0.26126               0.12569               2.07860     
 hillthom           0.45308               0.30111               1.50470     
    black          -0.16357               0.48264              -0.33891     
     dinc           6.93736e-003          0.45363               1.52931e-002
     rinc          -0.59084               0.23710              -2.49196     
   harser           0.43462               0.17362               2.50320     
    V3305          -1.02490               0.53787              -1.90546     
 IWSEX92P          -3.06514              19.33789              -0.15850     
     idpp           0.18015               0.24141               0.74624     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -82.962           -141.4 
number of observations                  204
percent correctly predicted          83.333

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.50675e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.12858     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.14938     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.48739e-003

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idlg] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       86          43.00
    1                      114          57.00

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.38629e+002     STEP =            1.49501     
                NEW LLF =     -79.87824          GRAD*DIREC =     94.66082     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -79.87824          STEP =            1.09082     
                NEW LLF =     -79.25746          GRAD*DIREC =      1.16826     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -79.25746          STEP =            1.80350     
                NEW LLF =     -79.21159          GRAD*DIREC =      6.30997e-002

ITERATION  4:   OLD LLF =     -79.21159          STEP =            1.29800     
                NEW LLF =     -79.20623          GRAD*DIREC =      8.96554e-003

ITERATION  5:   OLD LLF =     -79.20623          STEP =            1.54434     
                NEW LLF =     -79.20528          GRAD*DIREC =      1.43268e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       2.87259e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha           5.97684              39.17629               0.15256     
  partyid          -0.25123               6.60782e-002         -3.80208     
  libconr          -6.30887e-002          9.80488e-002         -0.64344     
 abortion           0.23040               0.12933               1.78152     
 hillthom           0.44712               0.30995               1.44257     
    black          -0.17404               0.48534              -0.35859     
     dinc           2.89857e-002          0.45779               6.33170e-002
     rinc          -0.62176               0.24324              -2.55615     
   harser           0.46484               0.17840               2.60568     
    V3305          -1.03013               0.54915              -1.87588     
 IWSEX92P          -3.02675              19.58343              -0.15456     
     idlg           0.16712               0.21020               0.79506     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -79.205          -138.63 
number of observations                  200
percent correctly predicted              83

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -9.90492e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.14995     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.14723     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -1.04842e-003

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idca] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       88          43.35
    1                      115          56.65

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.40709e+002     STEP =            1.47398     
                NEW LLF =     -83.60847          GRAD*DIREC =     92.53765     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -83.60847          STEP =            1.10438     
                NEW LLF =     -83.02388          GRAD*DIREC =      1.09093     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -83.02388          STEP =            1.77736     
                NEW LLF =     -82.97694          GRAD*DIREC =      6.51525e-002

ITERATION  4:   OLD LLF =     -82.97694          STEP =            1.29842     
                NEW LLF =     -82.97127          GRAD*DIREC =      9.49249e-003

ITERATION  5:   OLD LLF =     -82.97127          STEP =            1.54359     
                NEW LLF =     -82.97026          GRAD*DIREC =      1.51463e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       3.03306e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha           5.99407              38.24304               0.15674     
  partyid          -0.24042               6.54563e-002         -3.67304     
  libconr          -6.31204e-002          9.52032e-002         -0.66301     
 abortion           0.26120               0.12530               2.08452     
 hillthom           0.46066               0.30162               1.52729     
    black          -0.16358               0.48127              -0.33990     
     dinc           4.13571e-002          0.45376               9.11435e-002
     rinc          -0.56979               0.23721              -2.40201     
   harser           0.44479               0.17417               2.55370     
    V3305          -1.02026               0.53813              -1.89593     
 IWSEX92P          -3.06504              19.11687              -0.16033     
     idca           0.12563               0.26307               0.47756     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                       -82.97          -140.71 
number of observations                  203
percent correctly predicted          82.759

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -6.19469e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.15620     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.16317     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.50102e-003

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idsb] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       86          43.43
    1                      112          56.57

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.37243e+002     STEP =            1.48916     
                NEW LLF =     -79.58776          GRAD*DIREC =     93.03891     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -79.58776          STEP =            1.09539     
                NEW LLF =     -78.96453          GRAD*DIREC =      1.16950     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -78.96453          STEP =            1.79251     
                NEW LLF =     -78.91795          GRAD*DIREC =      6.43121e-002

ITERATION  4:   OLD LLF =     -78.91795          STEP =            1.29806     
                NEW LLF =     -78.91244          GRAD*DIREC =      9.22592e-003

ITERATION  5:   OLD LLF =     -78.91244          STEP =            1.54378     
                NEW LLF =     -78.91146          GRAD*DIREC =      1.47304e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       2.95079e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha           5.99480              38.75034               0.15470     
  partyid          -0.24917               6.60630e-002         -3.77166     
  libconr          -6.04730e-002          9.79269e-002         -0.61753     
 abortion           0.22657               0.12931               1.75214     
 hillthom           0.44384               0.31039               1.42995     
    black          -0.17407               0.48556              -0.35848     
     dinc           3.92834e-002          0.45809               8.57557e-002
     rinc          -0.60733               0.24380              -2.49112     
   harser           0.46393               0.17842               2.60026     
    V3305          -1.04006               0.54806              -1.89773     
 IWSEX92P          -3.03884              19.37035              -0.15688     
     idsb           0.18859               0.24581               0.76722     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -78.911          -137.24 
number of observations                  198
percent correctly predicted          83.333

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -9.72887e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.16692     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.14060     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -1.32055e-003

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idpplg] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       84          42.42
    1                      114          57.58

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.37243e+002     STEP =            1.49717     
                NEW LLF =     -79.41607          GRAD*DIREC =     93.11261     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -79.41607          STEP =            1.09238     
                NEW LLF =     -78.78314          GRAD*DIREC =      1.18980     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -78.78314          STEP =            1.80239     
                NEW LLF =     -78.73672          GRAD*DIREC =      6.38955e-002

ITERATION  4:   OLD LLF =     -78.73672          STEP =            1.29706     
                NEW LLF =     -78.73132          GRAD*DIREC =      9.04355e-003

ITERATION  5:   OLD LLF =     -78.73132          STEP =            1.54485     
                NEW LLF =     -78.73036          GRAD*DIREC =      1.44127e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       2.88692e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha           5.99539              39.14863               0.15314     
  partyid          -0.24843               6.62607e-002         -3.74927     
  libconr          -6.05870e-002          9.80035e-002         -0.61821     
 abortion           0.21836               0.13012               1.67820     
 hillthom           0.42736               0.31065               1.37570     
    black          -0.16573               0.48683              -0.34043     
     dinc           1.18137e-002          0.45858               2.57615e-002
     rinc          -0.62949               0.24414              -2.57838     
   harser           0.45284               0.17896               2.53037     
    V3305          -1.04179               0.54710              -1.90420     
 IWSEX92P          -3.02003              19.56964              -0.15432     
   idpplg           0.28610               0.27143               1.05406     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                       -78.73          -137.24 
number of observations                  198
percent correctly predicted          83.333

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -9.64273e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.15819     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.15819     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -1.00074e-003

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idppca] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       86          42.79
    1                      115          57.21

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.39323e+002     STEP =            1.47556     
                NEW LLF =     -83.19798          GRAD*DIREC =     90.90773     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -83.19798          STEP =            1.10616     
                NEW LLF =     -82.58919          GRAD*DIREC =      1.13455     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -82.58919          STEP =            1.77858     
                NEW LLF =     -82.54114          GRAD*DIREC =      6.66949e-002

ITERATION  4:   OLD LLF =     -82.54114          STEP =            1.29693     
                NEW LLF =     -82.53539          GRAD*DIREC =      9.62548e-003

ITERATION  5:   OLD LLF =     -82.53539          STEP =            1.54434     
                NEW LLF =     -82.53437          GRAD*DIREC =      1.52935e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       3.05770e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha           6.03061              38.20587               0.15785     
  partyid          -0.23618               6.55296e-002         -3.60419     
  libconr          -6.01679e-002          9.50836e-002         -0.63279     
 abortion           0.24950               0.12608               1.97881     
 hillthom           0.43692               0.30258               1.44398     
    black          -0.16233               0.48289              -0.33616     
     dinc           2.28615e-002          0.45513               5.02304e-002
     rinc          -0.57350               0.23767              -2.41302     
   harser           0.43113               0.17460               2.46915     
    V3305          -1.04008               0.53627              -1.93948     
 IWSEX92P          -3.07078              19.09829              -0.16079     
   idppca           0.27607               0.34385               0.80290     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -82.534          -139.32 
number of observations                  201
percent correctly predicted          83.085

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -6.94371e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.16948     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.16850     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.49415e-003

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idppsb] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       84          42.86
    1                      112          57.14

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.35857e+002     STEP =            1.49100     
                NEW LLF =     -79.14876          GRAD*DIREC =     91.45895     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -79.14876          STEP =            1.09687     
                NEW LLF =     -78.51004          GRAD*DIREC =      1.19722     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -78.51004          STEP =            1.79085     
                NEW LLF =     -78.46284          GRAD*DIREC =      6.52282e-002

ITERATION  4:   OLD LLF =     -78.46284          STEP =            1.29708     
                NEW LLF =     -78.45727          GRAD*DIREC =      9.32098e-003

ITERATION  5:   OLD LLF =     -78.45727          STEP =            1.54422     
                NEW LLF =     -78.45629          GRAD*DIREC =      1.48399e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       2.96933e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha           6.01916              38.70037               0.15553     
  partyid          -0.24601               6.62338e-002         -3.71429     
  libconr          -5.87253e-002          9.78404e-002         -0.60022     
 abortion           0.21468               0.13009               1.65030     
 hillthom           0.42320               0.31111               1.36031     
    black          -0.16802               0.48702              -0.34500     
     dinc           2.13114e-002          0.45903               4.64275e-002
     rinc          -0.61497               0.24466              -2.51357     
   harser           0.45227               0.17904               2.52604     
    V3305          -1.04997               0.54590              -1.92338     
 IWSEX92P          -3.03407              19.34538              -0.15684     
   idppsb           0.32149               0.31659               1.01545     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -78.456          -135.86 
number of observations                  196
percent correctly predicted          83.163

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -9.59591e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.17564     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.15329     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -1.30944e-003

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p pplg] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       92          41.26
    1                      131          58.74

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.54572e+002     STEP =            1.56093     
                NEW LLF =     -86.00676          GRAD*DIREC =      1.08151e+002

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -86.00676          STEP =            1.01185     
                NEW LLF =     -85.35934          GRAD*DIREC =      1.28439     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -85.35934          STEP =            1.00391     
                NEW LLF =     -85.35820          GRAD*DIREC =      2.27295e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       2.19081e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -1.54863               1.44931              -1.06853     
  partyid          -0.24907               6.57047e-002         -3.79069     
  libconr          -4.54316e-002          9.46672e-002         -0.47991     
 abortion           0.20491               0.12731               1.60960     
 hillthom           0.39902               0.30520               1.30742     
    black          -1.78428e-002          0.44332              -4.02481e-002
     dinc           1.67006e-002          0.44194               3.77890e-002
     rinc          -0.79467               0.24441              -3.25133     
   harser           0.49397               0.17599               2.80677     
    V3305          -1.07305               0.54365              -1.97378     
 IWSEX92P           0.39276               0.61734               0.63622     
     pplg           1.36937               0.70347               1.94660     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -85.358          -154.57 
number of observations                  223
percent correctly predicted          82.511

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.20538     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.17435     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.18966     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      0.17395     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p ppca] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       95          42.04
    1                      131          57.96

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.56651e+002     STEP =            1.51686     
                NEW LLF =     -91.02891          GRAD*DIREC =      1.05202e+002

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -91.02891          STEP =            1.00073     
                NEW LLF =     -90.67393          GRAD*DIREC =      0.70962     

At convergence grad * dir =       4.00212e-004


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.88676               1.39082              -0.63758     
  partyid          -0.21832               6.43778e-002         -3.39124     
  libconr          -6.02309e-002          9.09207e-002         -0.66246     
 abortion           0.26378               0.12275               2.14898     
 hillthom           0.45409               0.29403               1.54435     
    black           4.41595e-002          0.44444               9.93602e-002
     dinc           7.79361e-002          0.43825               0.17783     
     rinc          -0.64952               0.23130              -2.80815     
   harser           0.47550               0.17283               2.75121     
    V3305          -0.93102               0.51797              -1.79745     
 IWSEX92P           0.14743               0.60735               0.24275     
     ppca           0.85980               0.88623               0.97018     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -90.674          -156.65 
number of observations                  226
percent correctly predicted          83.186

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.24449     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.20065     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.29178     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      1.08379e-002

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p ppsb] if[state==1 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       92          41.82
    1                      128          58.18

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.52492e+002     STEP =            1.54881     
                NEW LLF =     -85.77598          GRAD*DIREC =      1.05683e+002

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -85.77598          STEP =            1.01487     
                NEW LLF =     -85.23755          GRAD*DIREC =      1.06614     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -85.23755          STEP =            1.00297     
                NEW LLF =     -85.23685          GRAD*DIREC =      1.40318e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       7.02449e-010


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -1.54472               1.45925              -1.05857     
  partyid          -0.23298               6.48731e-002         -3.59135     
  libconr          -4.05246e-002          9.51036e-002         -0.42611     
 abortion           0.18414               0.12971               1.41958     
 hillthom           0.35484               0.30972               1.14567     
    black           1.82256e-002          0.44724               4.07515e-002
     dinc           5.85089e-002          0.44346               0.13194     
     rinc          -0.73877               0.24199              -3.05284     
   harser           0.45546               0.18129               2.51232     
    V3305          -1.03966               0.53852              -1.93059     
 IWSEX92P           0.32381               0.61314               0.52811     
     ppsb           1.92496               1.03479               1.86025     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -85.237          -152.49 
number of observations                  220
percent correctly predicted          83.182

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.28513     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.25107     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.30188     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      0.13481     

*** descriptive statistics for (state==0 & female==1)
cova var[senvote partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p identify] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]

Variable:  senvote     

Mean                    0.64706      Standard deviation      0.47930     
Minimum                 0.00000e+000 Skewness               -0.61003     
Maximum                 1.00000      Kurtosis                1.36261     
Valid observations       170

Variable:  partyid     

Mean                    2.40000      Standard deviation      2.02177     
Minimum                 0.00000e+000 Skewness                0.44570     
Maximum                 6.00000      Kurtosis                1.78166     
Valid observations       170

Variable:  libconr     

Mean                    4.14118      Standard deviation      1.42798     
Minimum                 1.00000      Skewness               -0.19885     
Maximum                 7.00000      Kurtosis                2.00648     
Valid observations       170

Variable: abortion     

Mean                    3.15294      Standard deviation      1.05478     
Minimum                 1.00000      Skewness               -0.75629     
Maximum                 4.00000      Kurtosis                2.08064     
Valid observations       170

Variable: hillthom     

Mean                    0.13047      Standard deviation      0.44610     
Minimum                -1.00000      Skewness                0.15403     
Maximum                 1.00000      Kurtosis                2.57265     
Valid observations       170

Variable:    black     

Mean                    0.20588      Standard deviation      0.40554     
Minimum                 0.00000e+000 Skewness                1.44197     
Maximum                 1.00000      Kurtosis                3.07985     
Valid observations       170

Variable:     dinc     

Mean                    0.57647      Standard deviation      0.49558     
Minimum                 0.00000e+000 Skewness               -0.30680     
Maximum                 1.00000      Kurtosis                1.08295     
Valid observations       170

Variable:     rinc     

Mean                    0.36471      Standard deviation      0.48277     
Minimum                 0.00000e+000 Skewness                0.55719     
Maximum                 1.00000      Kurtosis                1.30057     
Valid observations       170

Variable:   harser     

Mean                    2.30000      Standard deviation      0.69529     
Minimum                 1.00000      Skewness               -0.47461     
Maximum                 3.00000      Kurtosis                2.11550     
Valid observations       170

Variable:    V3305     

Mean                    0.48106      Standard deviation      0.28878     
Minimum                 0.00000e+000 Skewness               -6.32971e-002
Maximum                 1.00000      Kurtosis                2.03159     
Valid observations       170

Variable: IWSEX92P     

Mean                    1.94706      Standard deviation      0.22458     
Minimum                 1.00000      Skewness               -3.95791     
Maximum                 2.00000      Kurtosis               16.74603     
Valid observations       170

Variable: identify     

Mean                    0.74706      Standard deviation      0.67114     
Minimum                 0.00000e+000 Skewness                0.34082     
Maximum                 2.00000      Kurtosis                2.16875     
Valid observations       170

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      9.67633e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      0.22155     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      0.13822     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      0.18544     

*** models for individual states (state==0)
probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p identify] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       60          35.29
    1                      110          64.71

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.17835e+002     STEP =            1.51056     
                NEW LLF =     -69.20050          GRAD*DIREC =     78.05999     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -69.20050          STEP =            1.02637     
                NEW LLF =     -68.52996          GRAD*DIREC =      1.31784     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -68.52996          STEP =            1.00515     
                NEW LLF =     -68.52823          GRAD*DIREC =      3.44947e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       7.15905e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.50060               1.47909              -0.33845     
  partyid          -0.21462               7.91793e-002         -2.71053     
  libconr          -0.25707               0.11281              -2.27877     
 abortion           0.10590               0.12715               0.83287     
 hillthom           0.87003               0.40961               2.12407     
    black           0.19068               0.35631               0.53515     
     dinc           0.31761               0.63557               0.49973     
     rinc          -0.46995               0.64432              -0.72936     
   harser           3.32984e-003          0.20005               1.66447e-002
    V3305          -0.52011               0.56226              -0.92505     
 IWSEX92P           1.38071               0.64751               2.13233     
 identify          -0.40443               0.19916              -2.03067     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -68.528          -117.84 
number of observations                  170
percent correctly predicted          84.118

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      6.59597e-003

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.17267     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.53811e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.18372     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p polaffct] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       70          36.65
    1                      121          63.35

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.32391e+002     STEP =            1.44291     
                NEW LLF =     -81.69302          GRAD*DIREC =     82.95249     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -81.69302          STEP =            1.03243     
                NEW LLF =     -81.01689          GRAD*DIREC =      1.32340     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -81.01689          STEP =            1.00418     
                NEW LLF =     -81.01530          GRAD*DIREC =      3.16041e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       6.44900e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -1.03132               1.39120              -0.74132     
  partyid          -0.22233               7.22425e-002         -3.07754     
  libconr          -0.25307               0.10600              -2.38743     
 abortion           9.48259e-002          0.11702               0.81032     
 hillthom           0.64425               0.36023               1.78846     
    black           8.04882e-002          0.34049               0.23639     
     dinc           0.68314               0.53228               1.28343     
     rinc          -0.15249               0.51943              -0.29357     
   harser          -0.11621               0.19537              -0.59483     
    V3305          -0.46840               0.52409              -0.89374     
 IWSEX92P           1.43190               0.60258               2.37627     
 polaffct           0.16592               0.62789               0.26424     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -81.015          -132.39 
number of observations                  191
percent correctly predicted          81.152

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.11866     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -5.29250e-002

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.18046     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.80951e-003

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p polpower] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       70          36.65
    1                      121          63.35

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.32391e+002     STEP =            1.44750     
                NEW LLF =     -80.38031          GRAD*DIREC =     84.94533     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -80.38031          STEP =            1.03151     
                NEW LLF =     -79.77269          GRAD*DIREC =      1.19021     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -79.77269          STEP =            1.00373     
                NEW LLF =     -79.77152          GRAD*DIREC =      2.34917e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       3.49926e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha           0.65778               1.68905               0.38944     
  partyid          -0.23398               7.27922e-002         -3.21435     
  libconr          -0.24279               0.10545              -2.30247     
 abortion           0.15469               0.12116               1.27678     
 hillthom           0.75189               0.37498               2.00517     
    black           4.59523e-002          0.34222               0.13428     
     dinc           0.55988               0.53678               1.04303     
     rinc          -0.22905               0.52160              -0.43912     
   harser          -0.13374               0.19275              -0.69386     
    V3305          -0.51649               0.53190              -0.97103     
 IWSEX92P           1.35551               0.62357               2.17379     
 polpower          -1.92983               1.16238              -1.66024     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -79.772          -132.39 
number of observations                  191
percent correctly predicted          83.246

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.25034     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.16113     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      0.11542     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      4.79966e-002

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p sexlegit] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       69          36.51
    1                      120          63.49

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.31005e+002     STEP =            1.48562     
                NEW LLF =     -77.86297          GRAD*DIREC =     85.88644     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -77.86297          STEP =            1.03726     
                NEW LLF =     -77.09781          GRAD*DIREC =      1.49272     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -77.09781          STEP =            1.00566     
                NEW LLF =     -77.09532          GRAD*DIREC =      4.94951e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       1.64737e-008


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -1.65902               1.42332              -1.16560     
  partyid          -0.24254               7.39519e-002         -3.27964     
  libconr          -0.24717               0.11048              -2.23729     
 abortion           2.48211e-002          0.12288               0.20199     
 hillthom           0.63474               0.36892               1.72056     
    black           3.12854e-002          0.34805               8.98876e-002
     dinc           0.87382               0.54052               1.61662     
     rinc          -9.71910e-002          0.51349              -0.18928     
   harser          -0.11193               0.19865              -0.56346     
    V3305          -0.48567               0.54003              -0.89935     
 IWSEX92P           1.55887               0.60743               2.56636     
 sexlegit           0.80222               0.55189               1.45360     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -77.095             -131 
number of observations                  189
percent correctly predicted          82.011

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.26010     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -5.97659e-005

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -7.94888e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      8.29647e-002

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p collactw] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       71          37.77
    1                      117          62.23

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.30312e+002     STEP =            1.45511     
                NEW LLF =     -79.82884          GRAD*DIREC =     82.27896     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -79.82884          STEP =            1.03850     
                NEW LLF =     -79.10084          GRAD*DIREC =      1.41927     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -79.10084          STEP =            1.00469     
                NEW LLF =     -79.09889          GRAD*DIREC =      3.87712e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       1.06967e-008


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -1.07182               1.36580              -0.78475     
  partyid          -0.23887               7.33967e-002         -3.25446     
  libconr          -0.24459               0.10682              -2.28963     
 abortion           0.12784               0.11739               1.08898     
 hillthom           0.63023               0.36627               1.72065     
    black           6.68345e-004          0.37495               1.78252e-003
     dinc           0.69784               0.53816               1.29671     
     rinc          -0.18254               0.52224              -0.34953     
   harser          -0.15955               0.19634              -0.81264     
    V3305          -0.40760               0.52743              -0.77280     
 IWSEX92P           1.38430               0.60288               2.29616     
 COLLACTW           0.35689               0.45085               0.79159     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -79.099          -130.31 
number of observations                  188
percent correctly predicted          79.787

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      2.61120e-003

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.13697     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.12585     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.32718e-002

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p sysblamw] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       69          37.30
    1                      116          62.70

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.28232e+002     STEP =            1.47710     
                NEW LLF =     -76.60145          GRAD*DIREC =     83.62319     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -76.60145          STEP =            1.04428     
                NEW LLF =     -75.76891          GRAD*DIREC =      1.61666     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -75.76891          STEP =            1.00624     
                NEW LLF =     -75.76579          GRAD*DIREC =      6.21111e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       3.57008e-008


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -1.45720               1.42624              -1.02171     
  partyid          -0.25889               7.50302e-002         -3.45044     
  libconr          -0.22775               0.11045              -2.06202     
 abortion           7.16980e-002          0.12157               0.58977     
 hillthom           0.61099               0.37186               1.64308     
    black          -9.14938e-002          0.36486              -0.25076     
     dinc           0.82749               0.54855               1.50849     
     rinc          -0.14419               0.52181              -0.27633     
   harser          -0.16674               0.20264              -0.82281     
    V3305          -0.46750               0.54061              -0.86476     
 IWSEX92P           1.48305               0.60714               2.44267     
 SYSBLAMW           0.81229               0.70588               1.15075     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -75.766          -128.23 
number of observations                  185
percent correctly predicted          81.081

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.16540     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.11291     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.14700     

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      3.47709e-002

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idpa] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       59          34.91
    1                      110          65.09

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.17142e+002     STEP =            1.48992     
                NEW LLF =     -69.70739          GRAD*DIREC =     76.48646     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -69.70739          STEP =            1.03631     
                NEW LLF =     -68.99681          GRAD*DIREC =      1.38747     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -68.99681          STEP =            1.00545     
                NEW LLF =     -68.99475          GRAD*DIREC =      4.12345e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       1.24653e-008


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.46064               1.48122              -0.31099     
  partyid          -0.20544               7.85574e-002         -2.61517     
  libconr          -0.26572               0.11304              -2.35075     
 abortion           0.10151               0.12687               0.80012     
 hillthom           0.87013               0.41038               2.12029     
    black           0.19040               0.35516               0.53609     
     dinc           0.37436               0.62456               0.59940     
     rinc          -0.38533               0.63212              -0.60958     
   harser          -3.59479e-003          0.20165              -1.78267e-002
    V3305          -0.55678               0.55804              -0.99773     
 IWSEX92P           1.32687               0.64496               2.05730     
     idpa          -0.41745               0.24372              -1.71282     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -68.995          -117.14 
number of observations                  169
percent correctly predicted          82.249

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      3.01850e-003

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.20836     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -4.58477e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.16024     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idpp] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       59          34.91
    1                      110          65.09

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.17142e+002     STEP =            1.50812     
                NEW LLF =     -69.00172          GRAD*DIREC =     77.29848     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -69.00172          STEP =            1.02636     
                NEW LLF =     -68.34145          GRAD*DIREC =      1.29771     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -68.34145          STEP =            1.00493     
                NEW LLF =     -68.33985          GRAD*DIREC =      3.18234e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       6.18805e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.37075               1.48079              -0.25038     
  partyid          -0.22160               7.98436e-002         -2.77542     
  libconr          -0.25354               0.11253              -2.25309     
 abortion           0.11351               0.12755               0.88993     
 hillthom           0.91605               0.41707               2.19642     
    black           0.16103               0.35643               0.45180     
     dinc           0.28427               0.63366               0.44861     
     rinc          -0.49546               0.64194              -0.77182     
   harser          -1.62779e-002          0.20054              -8.11720e-002
    V3305          -0.51818               0.56312              -0.92020     
 IWSEX92P           1.34785               0.64649               2.08485     
     idpp          -0.54117               0.25633              -2.11120     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                       -68.34          -117.14 
number of observations                  169
percent correctly predicted          84.024

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.34285e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.22338     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      2.62975e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.16279     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idlg] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       58          34.52
    1                      110          65.48

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.16449e+002     STEP =            1.48471     
                NEW LLF =     -67.75127          GRAD*DIREC =     78.69387     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -67.75127          STEP =            1.03282     
                NEW LLF =     -67.09237          GRAD*DIREC =      1.28945     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -67.09237          STEP =            1.00517     
                NEW LLF =     -67.09053          GRAD*DIREC =      3.66348e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       9.10668e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.51179               1.48080              -0.34562     
  partyid          -0.22622               7.98373e-002         -2.83347     
  libconr          -0.21977               0.11473              -1.91558     
 abortion           7.98370e-002          0.12879               0.61992     
 hillthom           0.81687               0.40900               1.99724     
    black           7.17312e-002          0.35769               0.20054     
     dinc           0.45952               0.64862               0.70846     
     rinc          -0.36771               0.65317              -0.56297     
   harser          -1.54968e-002          0.20208              -7.66848e-002
    V3305          -0.69380               0.57098              -1.21512     
 IWSEX92P           1.32395               0.64089               2.06581     
     idlg          -0.24557               0.22115              -1.11040     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -67.091          -116.45 
number of observations                  168
percent correctly predicted          83.929

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -6.13819e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.16050     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      1.39135e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.12861     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idca] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       60          36.14
    1                      106          63.86

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.15062e+002     STEP =            1.49968     
                NEW LLF =     -67.79141          GRAD*DIREC =     76.00583     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -67.79141          STEP =            1.02631     
                NEW LLF =     -67.18307          GRAD*DIREC =      1.19567     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -67.18307          STEP =            1.00436     
                NEW LLF =     -67.18173          GRAD*DIREC =      2.68405e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       4.21229e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.40755               1.46557              -0.27808     
  partyid          -0.22893               8.04260e-002         -2.84643     
  libconr          -0.24660               0.11208              -2.20014     
 abortion           0.13890               0.12870               1.07925     
 hillthom           0.88979               0.41300               2.15445     
    black           0.24729               0.35981               0.68727     
     dinc           0.16756               0.65164               0.25714     
     rinc          -0.64828               0.66108              -0.98064     
   harser          -2.83432e-002          0.20439              -0.13867     
    V3305          -0.41875               0.56630              -0.73946     
 IWSEX92P           1.32278               0.64112               2.06322     
     idca          -0.53384               0.28827              -1.85186     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -67.182          -115.06 
number of observations                  166
percent correctly predicted          81.928

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -1.86488e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.18851     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -8.35917e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.17559     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idsb] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       58          35.37
    1                      106          64.63

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.13676e+002     STEP =            1.49882     
                NEW LLF =     -65.65690          GRAD*DIREC =     77.26789     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -65.65690          STEP =            1.03095     
                NEW LLF =     -65.00622          GRAD*DIREC =      1.27498     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -65.00622          STEP =            1.00502     
                NEW LLF =     -65.00454          GRAD*DIREC =      3.34195e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       7.40819e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.44325               1.47288              -0.30094     
  partyid          -0.24656               8.17741e-002         -3.01514     
  libconr          -0.20840               0.11474              -1.81634     
 abortion           0.10879               0.13095               0.83081     
 hillthom           0.86366               0.41525               2.07984     
    black           0.12107               0.36280               0.33371     
     dinc           0.33570               0.65193               0.51493     
     rinc          -0.52978               0.65795              -0.80519     
   harser          -5.64210e-002          0.20662              -0.27307     
    V3305          -0.61264               0.57500              -1.06545     
 IWSEX92P           1.34819               0.64220               2.09934     
     idsb          -0.38226               0.26039              -1.46802     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -65.005          -113.68 
number of observations                  164
percent correctly predicted          84.146

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -6.10031e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.17291     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -1.30335e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.15392     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idpplg] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       57          34.13
    1                      110          65.87

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.15756e+002     STEP =            1.48076     
                NEW LLF =     -67.66419          GRAD*DIREC =     77.78699     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -67.66419          STEP =            1.03246     
                NEW LLF =     -67.03500          GRAD*DIREC =      1.23165     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -67.03500          STEP =            1.00483     
                NEW LLF =     -67.03338          GRAD*DIREC =      3.22964e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       7.00731e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.44561               1.48955              -0.29916     
  partyid          -0.22891               8.01239e-002         -2.85692     
  libconr          -0.21921               0.11464              -1.91211     
 abortion           8.09121e-002          0.12892               0.62762     
 hillthom           0.83528               0.41384               2.01839     
    black           6.89451e-002          0.35812               0.19252     
     dinc           0.44675               0.64772               0.68974     
     rinc          -0.37624               0.65150              -0.57751     
   harser          -2.17864e-002          0.20251              -0.10758     
    V3305          -0.68414               0.57100              -1.19814     
 IWSEX92P           1.30277               0.64278               2.02678     
   idpplg          -0.32071               0.27794              -1.15390     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -67.033          -115.76 
number of observations                  167
percent correctly predicted          83.832

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -6.70211e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.19795     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      4.29019e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.10703     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idppca] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       59          35.76
    1                      106          64.24

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.14369e+002     STEP =            1.49104     
                NEW LLF =     -67.79840          GRAD*DIREC =     75.04086     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -67.79840          STEP =            1.02679     
                NEW LLF =     -67.21808          GRAD*DIREC =      1.14031     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -67.21808          STEP =            1.00403     
                NEW LLF =     -67.21691          GRAD*DIREC =      2.33484e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       3.29593e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.30148               1.46726              -0.20547     
  partyid          -0.23143               8.06757e-002         -2.86867     
  libconr          -0.24409               0.11176              -2.18403     
 abortion           0.14405               0.12891               1.11740     
 hillthom           0.91737               0.41823               2.19344     
    black           0.22024               0.35835               0.61459     
     dinc           0.14877               0.65181               0.22824     
     rinc          -0.65929               0.65988              -0.99911     
   harser          -4.22488e-002          0.20404              -0.20707     
    V3305          -0.43054               0.56552              -0.76133     
 IWSEX92P           1.28418               0.63911               2.00934     
   idppca          -0.67199               0.36667              -1.83271     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -67.217          -114.37 
number of observations                  165
percent correctly predicted          82.424

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -4.21963e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.22962     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -4.60100e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.15329     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p idppsb] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       57          34.97
    1                      106          65.03

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.12983e+002     STEP =            1.49118     
                NEW LLF =     -65.66540          GRAD*DIREC =     76.28488     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -65.66540          STEP =            1.03110     
                NEW LLF =     -65.05013          GRAD*DIREC =      1.20555     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -65.05013          STEP =            1.00464     
                NEW LLF =     -65.04867          GRAD*DIREC =      2.90982e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       5.72013e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.37069               1.47948              -0.25056     
  partyid          -0.24829               8.19493e-002         -3.02983     
  libconr          -0.20728               0.11458              -1.80913     
 abortion           0.11041               0.13107               0.84231     
 hillthom           0.88145               0.41978               2.09982     
    black           0.10912               0.36255               0.30097     
     dinc           0.33347               0.65151               0.51184     
     rinc          -0.52544               0.65580              -0.80123     
   harser          -6.50371e-002          0.20679              -0.31452     
    V3305          -0.60965               0.57507              -1.06013     
 IWSEX92P           1.31377               0.64202               2.04630     
   idppsb          -0.46871               0.32668              -1.43475     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -65.049          -112.98 
number of observations                  163
percent correctly predicted          84.049

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -7.17047e-002

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.20942     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      1.69041e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.12829     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p pplg] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       68          36.17
    1                      120          63.83

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.30312e+002     STEP =            1.45697     
                NEW LLF =     -78.60617          GRAD*DIREC =     84.24573     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -78.60617          STEP =            1.03701     
                NEW LLF =     -77.94256          GRAD*DIREC =      1.29509     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -77.94256          STEP =            1.00454     
                NEW LLF =     -77.94087          GRAD*DIREC =      3.37188e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       7.05218e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -1.28535               1.42369              -0.90283     
  partyid          -0.24028               7.36254e-002         -3.26359     
  libconr          -0.23596               0.10963              -2.15234     
 abortion           4.82578e-002          0.12306               0.39216     
 hillthom           0.61553               0.36703               1.67705     
    black           3.62337e-003          0.34567               1.04822e-002
     dinc           0.80408               0.54435               1.47714     
     rinc          -0.12112               0.51863              -0.23354     
   harser          -9.29407e-002          0.19522              -0.47608     
    V3305          -0.54409               0.53599              -1.01511     
 IWSEX92P           1.53261               0.61023               2.51154     
     pplg           0.39962               0.60736               0.65795     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -77.941          -130.31 
number of observations                  188
percent correctly predicted          81.383

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.28130     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -9.70592e-002

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.10904e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      0.10273     

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p ppca] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       70          37.43
    1                      117          62.57

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.29619e+002     STEP =            1.43164     
                NEW LLF =     -80.01501          GRAD*DIREC =     81.41961     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -80.01501          STEP =            1.03472     
                NEW LLF =     -79.39633          GRAD*DIREC =      1.20916     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -79.39633          STEP =            1.00400     
                NEW LLF =     -79.39486          GRAD*DIREC =      2.92854e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       6.09454e-009


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -0.82489               1.43325              -0.57553     
  partyid          -0.23404               7.30913e-002         -3.20208     
  libconr          -0.24663               0.10552              -2.33721     
 abortion           0.13130               0.11915               1.10193     
 hillthom           0.68670               0.37438               1.83425     
    black           0.13424               0.35346               0.37979     
     dinc           0.63004               0.54543               1.15513     
     rinc          -0.22449               0.52455              -0.42796     
   harser          -0.13938               0.19389              -0.71887     
    V3305          -0.40620               0.52835              -0.76881     
 IWSEX92P           1.38976               0.60478               2.29795     
     ppca          -0.16161               0.91901              -0.17585     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -79.395          -129.62 
number of observations                  187
percent correctly predicted          82.353

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.17505     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.24451     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -3.65385e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      5.58640e-002

probit dep[senvote] ind[alpha partyid libconr abortion hillthom black \
  dinc rinc harser v3305 iwsex92p ppsb] if[state==0 & female==1] \
  covmat[probout]


********** PROBIT ESTIMATION **********
Dependent variable: senvote

Value        Label        Count        Percent
    0                       68          36.96
    1                      116          63.04

ITERATION  1:   OLD LLF =      -1.27539e+002     STEP =            1.45030     
                NEW LLF =     -77.05206          GRAD*DIREC =     82.40840     

ITERATION  2:   OLD LLF =     -77.05206          STEP =            1.03847     
                NEW LLF =     -76.37427          GRAD*DIREC =      1.32149     

ITERATION  3:   OLD LLF =     -76.37427          STEP =            1.00460     
                NEW LLF =     -76.37244          GRAD*DIREC =      3.63618e-003

At convergence grad * dir =       1.03382e-008


Independent        Estimated             Standard                 t-
 Variable         Coefficient             Error               Statistic

    alpha          -1.12453               1.45947              -0.77051     
  partyid          -0.25255               7.47150e-002         -3.38012     
  libconr          -0.22141               0.10913              -2.02883     
 abortion           8.24358e-002          0.12449               0.66220     
 hillthom           0.63912               0.37348               1.71127     
    black           1.07635e-002          0.35023               3.07324e-002
     dinc           0.74750               0.55346               1.35061     
     rinc          -0.18583               0.52560              -0.35357     
   harser          -0.13667               0.19808              -0.68998     
    V3305          -0.51272               0.53894              -0.95135     
 IWSEX92P           1.48870               0.61091               2.43687     
     ppsb           0.29247               0.85837               0.34073     

auxiliary statistics              at convergence      initial
log likelihood                      -76.372          -127.54 
number of observations                  184
percent correctly predicted          80.978

matrix probout[4,12]/((probout[4,4]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.28060     

matrix probout[5,12]/((probout[5,5]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -0.17666     

matrix probout[9,12]/((probout[9,9]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]     -2.69663e-002

matrix probout[11,12]/((probout[11,11]^.5)*(probout[12,12]^.5))
                [  1]     
   [  1]      0.10184     

spool off
